XRP Rally: Will 2025 Mirror 2017’s Explosive Surge?

XRP is once again in the spotlight as market sentiment echoes the conditions that triggered its massive 2017 rally. With macro investor Raoul Pal drawing parallels to the earlier Trump cycle, many wonder if XRP is poised for a repeat performance.

Since the beginning of 2025, the broader cryptocurrency market has faced periods of uncertainty. Despite a robust uptrend between November 2024 and January 2025, altcoins have largely remained stagnant, leaving investors concerned. While Bitcoin soared to new all-time highs, assets like XRP have lagged behind. This discrepancy has raised questions about what lies ahead for altcoins.

Raoul Pal, founder of Real Vision and a veteran macro analyst, believes current market behavior is reminiscent of 2017—right after Donald Trump was elected to his first presidential term. Pal argues that Trump’s return to office in late 2024 is once again shaping economic trajectory in similar ways.

During a recent market discussion, Pal noted striking resemblances between today’s economic signals and those from late 2016. Back then, Trump’s impending tariff policies rattled global markets, causing a significant surge in the dollar’s value. This same dollar strength reappeared after the 2024 election, reflecting investors’ anticipation of economic reforms.

Pal explained that a stronger dollar tightens financial conditions—a phenomenon that typically leads to a short-term market correction. According to his analysis, the market downturn in Q1 2025 is a delayed consequence of these dollar moves. But if history is any guide, this tightening phase also sets the stage for a powerful rebound.

Pal emphasizes a more optimistic outlook as the dollar has recently begun to weaken—a development he attributes to the Trump administration’s efforts to soften its value. While he doesn’t view this as a long-term trend, he believes it creates favorable conditions for risk assets, including stocks and crypto. This mirrors the financial landscape of early 2017 when digital assets outperformed expectations.

Though Pal did not mention XRP by name, its historical behavior strongly aligns with this macro outlook. In 2017, XRP remained under the radar for the first few months following Trump’s inauguration. Then, starting in March that year, XRP skyrocketed from $0.0055 to $0.3988 by May—an astonishing 7,150% increase within just 90 days. After stabilizing through a six-month consolidation, XRP surged again in December, climbing from $0.2349 to a peak of $3.80 by January 2018. All told, this period marked a remarkable 69,000% gain for XRP.

Fast forward to 2025, and a familiar pattern is emerging. Following Trump’s return to the White House in November 2024, XRP made a sharp move from $0.50 to $3.40 by January 2025, mirroring the first phase of its historic 2017 climb—this time registering a 580% increase in three months.

[The featured image matched this stage of the trend and has been omitted per protocol.]

Since February 2025, XRP has shifted into another consolidation phase. This cooling-off period has lasted six months—identical to the length of the post-rally pause in 2017. Many traders now speculate that XRP might be building momentum for another upward breakout.

Experts like EGRAG Crypto have drawn attention to recent timing metrics, suggesting that XRP could soon initiate the next leg of its run if the historical trend holds.

So, what could the next stage look like? Back in 2017, XRP’s second rally added an additional 1,517% after its initial climb. If XRP mirrors that trajectory, and adds approximately 121.8% to its current price point of around $2.27, it could reasonably reach $5. Optimists believe the ceiling might be even higher this time around. Some forecasted targets extend up to $6, with bolder predictions eyeing $7.80 if the rally surpasses historical strength.

Related: XRP Price: $12M Max Pain for Bears

Supporting this bullish outlook, Raoul Pal has previously asserted that XRP is primed for another move upward. While no projection is guaranteed, the fusion of macroeconomic repetition and technical setup offers a compelling case for XRP bulls. If the 2017 blueprint is any indication, XRP investors may be standing just before another potential breakout chapter.