XRP Approaches Major Breakout With 2025 Surge in Sight

XRP is drawing increased attention in the crypto market as analysts forecast an anticipated breakout fueled by a classic cup and handle pattern. With bullish momentum accelerating, XRP may be on the verge of a significant uptrend leading into September 2025.

Crypto analyst Patrick L. Riley has presented a compelling forecast predicting that XRP could witness its third major breakout by early September 2025. His analysis indicates that the digital asset is nearing the end of a nine-month cup and handle pattern — a powerful indicator often linked to strong bullish movements. A confirmed breakout could place XRP’s trajectory firmly on an upward path with $4–$5 in sight.

The cup and handle is a continuation chart pattern that emerges during upward trends. It starts with a rounded bottom, forming the ‘cup,’ followed by a short-term consolidation phase, forming the ‘handle,’ prior to a breakout. XRP has followed such a trajectory over the past several months, repeatedly testing resistance between $3.30 and $3.40. As the handle formation matures, the asset appears poised for a potential breakout, provided there is accompanying volume strength and sustained demand.

Technically, XRP is showing multiple signs pointing to bullish continuity. Over recent weeks, the cryptocurrency has established a sequence of higher lows, reflecting buying support each time the price dips. These movements mirror previous rallies observed earlier in 2025, adding confidence to the current setup. Riley’s forecast hinges on this pattern solidifying with a convincing breakout above the $3.40 mark to initiate a sustained rally.

The broader XRP ecosystem further fortifies this optimistic outlook. Enhancements to the XRP Ledger, coupled with heightened developer contributions and increased enterprise adoption of Ripple’s infrastructure, have delivered vital momentum. Positive regulatory developments earlier in the year have also removed significant barriers that once muted market enthusiasm, allowing technical movements to take precedence.

In addition, market indicators — from moving averages to relative strength and volume oscillators — have aligned to reinforce the stability of XRP’s current price action. These indicators point to a healthy buildup, which analysts say is essential for a successful breakout and prevents premature rallies from fizzling out. If XRP continues forming higher lows and maintains its current pace, the stage may be perfectly set for a breakout that validates the bullish signal from the cup and handle structure.

Looking to historical data for context, XRP’s price behavior has often included prolonged lateral movements followed by powerful price ascensions. While outcomes can vary, current fractal similarities to past patterns support forecasts of a move into the $4-5 range. More ambitious targets might materialize should momentum outpace expectations post-breakout.

Of course, traders need to approach the situation with caution. Even well-supported breakouts can falter in the presence of external pressures like macroeconomic shifts, sudden regulatory changes, or large-volume selloffs. In such cases, XRP could fall back into a stabilization range rather than continuing upward. A daily or weekly close above $3.40 with clear volume confirmation remains the key signal that market participants are awaiting before fully embracing a new bullish phase.

Related: XRP Price: $12M Max Pain for Bears

As September 2025 approaches, all indicators seem to be converging around this critical moment for XRP. Should the resistance at $3.30–$3.40 be convincingly breached, supported by robust trading activity, the potential for a meaningful rally is high. If this unfolding cup and handle completes as projected, it could mark a defining moment for XRP’s 2025 journey and beyond.