An XRP advocate suggests XRP ETFs could achieve a record-breaking first year if XRP hits $10. This forecast hinges on the expectation that sustained ETF inflows will drive significant price appreciation, similar to Bitcoin’s post-ETF rally.
What to Know:
- An XRP advocate suggests XRP ETFs could achieve a record-breaking first year if XRP hits $10.
- This forecast hinges on the expectation that sustained ETF inflows will drive significant price appreciation, similar to Bitcoin’s post-ETF rally.
- The potential milestone could further fuel institutional interest in XRP, though skeptics question its feasibility.
A prominent voice within the XRP community has posited that XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are primed for a historic run. While currently smaller in scale compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum products, these XRP ETFs are reportedly attracting increasing inflows and trading activity, gradually capturing the attention of Wall Street. The bold prediction suggests a major price breakout could position XRP ETFs for the most successful first-year launch in ETF history.
XRP ETF Growth
The analysis stems from a review of XRP exchange-traded funds, which have demonstrated consistent growth across both spot and leveraged products. As of mid-January, these ETFs collectively manage approximately $2.3 billion in assets under management (AUM). Funds like Canary and Bitwise have also posted year-to-date gains exceeding 13%, signaling growing institutional interest in XRP as an asset class.
A Historic Milestone?
The central thesis is that XRP could achieve an unprecedented milestone if its price surpasses $10 within the first year of ETF trading. While leveraged XRP ETFs launched in Q2 2025, spot products debuted later in the year, setting a potential timeframe extending into late 2026. Reaching this price level within the ETF’s initial year would represent a historic achievement, potentially attracting even greater institutional investment into XRP.
The ETF Inflow Effect
The rationale behind this assertion is rooted in the belief that sustained ETF inflows tend to drive significant price appreciation. Bitcoin’s surge to an all-time high of $126,198 in October 2025, following consistent inflows into its ETFs, serves as a prime example. This represented a 180% increase from the $45,000 level observed at the launch of the first spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024. XRP proponents anticipate a similar dynamic, with increased ETF inflows translating into substantial price momentum, potentially even more pronounced within the first year of XRP ETF availability.
The $10 Target
Currently trading around $1.68, XRP would need to rally approximately 495% to reach the $10 target and potentially become the best-performing first-year ETF in history. In comparison, Bitcoin did not experience a move of that magnitude even over nearly two years following the launch of its spot ETFs. Skeptics question the feasibility of XRP hitting $10 by year-end, particularly given its failure to reach the widely projected $5 level last year, despite the presence of multiple ETFs.
Market Realities
While the bullish outlook is compelling, it’s crucial to acknowledge the inherent uncertainties and complexities of the cryptocurrency market. Regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and shifts in investor sentiment can all significantly impact XRP’s price trajectory. Moreover, historical performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Achieving a 495% rally within a year is an ambitious target that would require a confluence of positive factors, including continued strong ETF inflows, favorable regulatory developments, and sustained positive sentiment toward XRP.
In conclusion, the prediction of XRP reaching $10 and achieving a record-breaking first year for its ETFs is an optimistic scenario contingent on substantial and sustained inflows. While the comparison to Bitcoin’s ETF-driven rally provides a potential roadmap, the unique characteristics of XRP and the evolving market landscape warrant a degree of caution. Whether XRP can defy skepticism and achieve this ambitious target remains to be seen, but the potential for significant institutional interest fueled by ETF demand is undeniable.
Related: Bitcoin Liquidity Crisis Signals $80K Target
Source: Original article
Quick Summary
An XRP advocate suggests XRP ETFs could achieve a record-breaking first year if XRP hits $10. This forecast hinges on the expectation that sustained ETF inflows will drive significant price appreciation, similar to Bitcoin’s post-ETF rally. The potential milestone could further fuel institutional interest in XRP, though skeptics question its feasibility.
Source
Information sourced from official Ripple publications, institutional research, regulatory documentation and reputable crypto news outlets.
Author
Ripple Van Winkle is a cryptocurrency analyst and founder of XRP Right Now. He has been active in the crypto space for over 8 years and has generated more than 25 million views across YouTube covering XRP daily.
Editorial Note
Opinions are the author's alone and for informational purposes only. This publication does not provide investment advice.

