XRP History Signals Strong July Ahead

XRP could be on the cusp of a promising turnaround, as historical data points to July being one of the strongest months for this digital asset. Despite a tepid performance throughout the second quarter of 2025, XRP may be entering a seasonally favorable stretch that has previously delivered consistent gains.

Currently, XRP is facing bearish sentiment as June winds down. The cryptocurrency has seen a disappointing second quarter, with momentum fading despite a short rally in April. However, market analysis suggests that July may offer a unique window for growth based on XRP’s long-term performance patterns.

Market statistics show that July, alongside April, is one of only two months where XRP has consistently shown positive returns. The average monthly return in July has historically been 7.9%, while the median sits at 6.91%. This kind of consistency over more than a decade highlights a strong seasonal pattern that traders and investors may find compelling.

Looking at past trend cycles, XRP often rebounds in Q3 following a weak Q2. For instance, the asset fell 59.4% during the second quarter of 2022, only to see a 44.5% recovery in the third quarter. Similarly, in 2024, XRP dropped by 25% in Q2 and bounced back nearly 29% in the following period. If the pattern holds, July 2025 could kick off a stronger performance for XRP yet again.

Meanwhile, the weekend also brought attention to Shiba Inu, which saw a massive increase in trading activity. On June 21, value locked in open interest for SHIB reached a staggering 10.71 trillion tokens, equivalent to more than $129 million. This surge came amidst overall market volatility and occurred even as SHIB’s value dropped by 3.32%, trading around $0.00001138. Trading volume climbed 58.65% to reach $131.56 million, suggesting heightened trading intensity—either from significant selling or accumulation at support levels.

Over half of the SHIB open interest is concentrated on the Gate.io platform, totaling roughly 6.24 trillion tokens valued at $71 million. Following Gate.io, Bitget and OKX also registered substantial SHIB holdings at 1.75 trillion and 1.23 trillion, respectively. Investors are keeping a close eye on the $0.000011 price threshold, where data shows that around 43.8 trillion SHIB tokens were acquired by over 222,450 wallet addresses. If this level is breached, it could spark a sharp decline in value.

In addition, Ethereum captured headlines after a transfer involving 129,000 ETH—worth approximately $312,981,377—was detected by the WhaleAlert blockchain tool on June 20. The ETH was transferred from an unidentified wallet to the Coinbase exchange. This movement occurred amid a broader crypto market sell-off and a decline in ETH’s price, leading to speculation that it might be a prelude to further selling activity. Traditionally, substantial exchange deposits often imply intent to sell, as opposed to wallet withdrawals, which may signal accumulation.

At the time of the transaction, Ethereum was experiencing downward pressure; however, recent data shows ETH recovering slightly, trading at around $2,250—a 3.08% increase within the past day. This uptick comes after $471 million worth of liquidations rattled the broader crypto sector, contributing to market instability.

Related: Expert Advice: Sell XRP If You’re Confused

As June draws to a close, all eyes are on XRP and whether it can defy short-term weakness to align with its historically bullish July performance. With patterns building market expectation and prior summers offering a precedent for recovery, XRP could be positioning for a significant seasonal shift in momentum.