What to Know: XRP is currently trading around $2.
What to Know:
- XRP is currently trading around $2.05, closely watched by analysts for a potential breakout above the $2.1–$2.5 resistance zone.
- Strong inflows into US-listed spot XRP ETFs, exceeding $935 million since launch, indicate sustained institutional interest despite fluctuations in derivatives markets.
- On-chain activity shows increased velocity, but large wallet movements raise questions about potential distribution or internal transfers within the Ripple ecosystem.
XRP is navigating a critical juncture, trading around $2.05 as market participants assess its potential for a sustained upward move. Amidst a backdrop of evolving regulatory clarity and growing institutional interest in digital assets, XRP’s performance is being closely scrutinized. Recent developments, including significant ETF inflows and notable on-chain activity, are adding layers of complexity to its market outlook, demanding a nuanced understanding for institutional and high-net-worth investors.
The $2.04 level has emerged as a key support, aligning with the macro 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. According to market analyst CasiTrades, the price has so far reacted positively to this zone. A sustained hold above this level could signal continued bullish momentum, with subsequent targets at $2.41 and $2.65. Conversely, a break below $2.04 could open the door for further downside, potentially testing the $1.73 and $1.64 levels, which correspond to the macro 0.618 Fibonacci zone. This tug-of-war underscores the current uncertainty, with both bullish and bearish scenarios remaining in play.
Momentum indicators offer a mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has broken above a downtrend and is currently hovering near 56, suggesting a potential build-up in buying pressure. However, the sustainability of this momentum hinges on whether buyers can effectively step in and drive the price higher. The RSI’s position in this range indicates that the market is at a decision point, where the next move could dictate the short-term trajectory of XRP.
A broader perspective, as highlighted by analyst ChartNerd, reveals similarities between the current price action and patterns observed in late 2024. At that time, XRP dipped below the 55-week EMA before staging a sharp recovery. The same moving average is now in play, with XRP currently positioned just below it. This historical parallel suggests that a similar rebound could be in the cards, provided that XRP can overcome the resistance posed by the 55-week EMA.
The current trading range between $1.9 and $3.2 has been in place for several months, with XRP consistently closing weekly candles above $2, maintaining the lower boundary of this range. A decisive move above the $2.25–$2.5 zone would signal a shift in market structure to the upside, potentially paving the way for a more sustained rally. However, the analyst suggests that a retest of the $1.9 level is likely in the coming weeks before any significant breakout attempt. This cautious outlook reflects the inherent volatility and uncertainty that characterize the cryptocurrency market.
One of the most compelling factors supporting XRP’s outlook is the robust inflows into US-listed spot ETFs. These funds have attracted over $935 million since their launch, marking the fastest early growth for any altcoin ETF to date. This strong demand from regulated investment products underscores the growing institutional interest in XRP, despite fluctuations in the derivatives market. The ETF inflows provide a steady source of buying pressure, which could help to stabilize the price and support further upside potential.
On-chain metrics reveal increased activity within the XRP Ledger, with token velocity on the rise. This indicates that XRP is moving more frequently between wallets, suggesting greater transactional activity and potential adoption. However, large wallet movements, involving over 510 million XRP in the past week, raise questions about potential distribution or internal transfers. These large transactions could be indicative of various factors, including institutional repositioning, market manipulation, or simply internal movements within Ripple’s ecosystem.
In summary, XRP is currently at a critical juncture, with its price action closely tied to key support and resistance levels. The strong inflows into spot ETFs and increased on-chain activity provide positive signals, while large wallet movements and uncertainty in the derivatives market warrant caution. As XRP navigates this complex landscape, its ability to maintain support, overcome resistance, and attract sustained institutional interest will be crucial in determining its future trajectory within the broader digital asset market.
Related: DAS Report Confirms XRP’s Shift Into Global Financial Infrastructure — Not Just Crypto
Source: Original article
Quick Summary
What to Know: XRP is currently trading around $2.
Source
Information sourced from official Ripple publications, institutional market research, regulatory documentation and reputable crypto news outlets.
Author
Ripple Van Winkle is a cryptocurrency analyst and founder of XRP Right Now. He has been active in the crypto space for over 8 years and has generated more than 25 million views across YouTube covering XRP, Ripple and digital asset adoption daily.
Editorial Note
Opinions are the author’s alone and for informational purposes only. This publication does not provide investment advice.

