XRP’s recent rally may seem impressive on the surface, but deeper indicators suggest caution is warranted for anyone monitoring Ripple’s native token.
XRP’s recent rally may seem impressive on the surface, but deeper indicators suggest caution is warranted for anyone monitoring Ripple’s native token. As XRP continues its upward movement in the broader cryptocurrency market, critical usage metrics point to a possible weakening of the rally’s sustainability.
After a remarkable surge that propelled the digital asset above $2.60, XRP appeared to be riding a powerful wave of investor optimism. This rise broke multiple resistance points and positioned the token for the potential to challenge its long-standing highs. However, behind the impressive price trajectory, fundamental activity on the XRP Ledger is showing signs of strain.
Data from on-chain analytics reveals a concerning drop in XRP’s on-network payment activity. Over the past two weeks, the daily volume of XRP transactions performed between user accounts has decreased by approximately 50%. While the token was seeing about one billion XRP exchanged daily at the end of June, that figure has now fallen to 500 million as of July 10.
This divergence between the token’s price and its transaction volume indicates a lopsided growth pattern driven more by market speculation than genuine utility. Historically, XRP’s strongest uptrends were supported by rising transaction activities, demonstrating parallel growth in speculative interest and utility adoption. Without such alignment, the risk of a price reversal increases.
The current scenario doesn’t signal a complete end to the rally, but it does raise red flags for traders and investors. The critical support level at $2.50 was decisively surpassed during the recent uptrend, opening doors for a potential test of the $3 mark. However, this optimistic outlook depends on XRP regaining its transactional momentum.
If the network’s payment activity continues to slide, many speculative investors may choose to take profits, thereby injecting volatility into the market. The fate of the rally may ultimately lie in whether XRP can sustain interest not just from traders, but also from users relying on the token for its intended use cases.
For a sustainable bullish trend, it’s vital that transactional flows on the XRP Ledger begin to recover. A drop in utility without matching growth in use could indicate the rally is sputtering out under the pressure of thin fundamentals.
Still, XRP remains well-positioned if it can establish and hold support above the $2 mark. Such stability could bolster investor confidence and leave room for XRP to eventually seek out multi-year highs. Until then, stakeholders in the Ripple ecosystem should keep a watchful eye on changes in payment volume and network adoption as these metrics tend to be more telling than price alone.
Related: XRP Price: $12M Max Pain for Bears
The sharp contrast between rising prices and declining utility is a scenario experienced across various crypto assets, but in XRP’s case — a token with deep roots in real-time cross-border transactions — it’s particularly noteworthy. The coming weeks will be critical in determining whether this rally is merely speculative or if it can evolve into a durable, fundamentals-driven climb.
Quick Summary
XRP’s recent rally may seem impressive on the surface, but deeper indicators suggest caution is warranted for anyone monitoring Ripple’s native token. As XRP continues its upward movement in the broader cryptocurrency market, critical usage metrics point to a possible weakening of the rally’s sustainability.
Source
Information sourced from official Ripple publications, institutional research, regulatory documentation and reputable crypto news outlets.
Author
Ripple Van Winkle is a cryptocurrency analyst and founder of XRP Right Now. He has been active in the crypto space for over 8 years and has generated more than 25 million views across YouTube covering XRP daily.
Editorial Note
Opinions are the author's alone and for informational purposes only. This publication does not provide investment advice.


