XRP Poised for Next Surge as MVRV Ratio Highlights Golden Cross

XRP is gaining attention again as a recent shift in the MVRV Ratio suggests a strong bullish trend may be on the horizon. This development marks the third time the indicator has flashed a golden cross since November 2024, potentially signaling a significant price breakout for the Ripple-backed asset.

Market expert Ali Martinez highlighted this new signal in a recent analysis. The timing couldn’t be more crucial, as XRP is making a renewed push to retest its previous yearly high of $3.66 after the dust has settled from its legal confrontation with the SEC. This legal clarity has given Ripple and its token XRP a new wave of bullish momentum, helping to bolster investor sentiment.

The MVRV Ratio—short for Market Value to Realized Value—is an important metric that compares the current market capitalization of a cryptocurrency to its realized value, or the average purchase price of all circulating coins. When the short-term MVRV crosses above the long-term MVRV, it generates what’s known as a “golden cross.” Historically, this has been seen as a strong technical indicator that the asset could be undervalued, often leading to a rally in price.

The Significance of Previous XRP Golden Crosses

In early November 2024, shortly after former President Donald Trump secured a reelection victory, the first of these MVRV golden crosses appeared. At that time, XRP began a rapid ascent, setting the stage for a major breakout. Data from Ali Martinez’s analysis revealed that following this signal, XRP rallied an astounding 630%, leaping past the critical $2 and $3 psychological resistance levels in quick succession. For more insight, check the full coverage of that surge here.

Another significant movement occurred in July 2025. After months of sideways trading from February to June, XRP again saw bullish behavior following a second appearance of the MVRV golden cross. This time, the increase was more modest, with the token appreciating 54% and reaching the $3.66 mark by July 18.

A Fresh Golden Cross and Future Price Scenarios

Fast forward to the present, and XRP is now trading around $3.3. Ali Martinez has noted the formation of a third golden cross as the asset rebounds from early-August lows. This recurring pattern raises the question: how high could XRP go this time?

There are a few compelling scenarios based on historical trends. If we see a repeat of the November 2024 rally, a similar 630% increase would catapult XRP to an eye-popping $24. This target is not purely speculative; it aligns with earlier predictions by well-known crypto skeptic Davinci Jeremie, who anticipated that XRP could eventually reach $24 during this cycle.

Alternatively, if the token follows the July rally pattern, where XRP gained 54%, it would place the next milestone around $5. This figure echoes a sentiment shared by popular crypto YouTuber DustyBC, who has previously suggested that XRP trading under $5 represents a buying opportunity.

A more tempered view might look at the average of both rallies—around 342%. Following this scenario, XRP’s price would land at approximately $14.4 over a longer timeframe. While this path would take more time to realize, it still presents a highly attractive upside compared to current levels.

Related: XRP Price: $12M Max Pain for Bears

While no indicator is foolproof, XRP’s historical behavior around MVRV golden crosses provides a promising outlook. With strong fundamentals from its legal triumph, rising institutional interest, and a clearly supportive technical setup, Ripple’s native asset seems primed for potential growth.