What to Know:
- Analyst Zach Rector forecasts a potentially significant increase in XRP’s market capitalization following the launch of the first U.S. spot XRP ETF.
- Rector’s analysis, based on Bitcoin ETF precedents, suggests that XRP could reach a $1 trillion valuation under bullish inflow scenarios.
- The actual impact on XRP’s price will depend on the speed and scale of ETF inflows, as well as broader market conditions and investor sentiment.
The launch of the first U.S. spot XRP ETF has sparked renewed interest in the potential market capitalization of XRP. Finance commentator Zach Rector recently outlined a bullish outlook, suggesting substantial growth driven by institutional inflows. His analysis draws parallels with Bitcoin’s ETF-driven market expansion, offering a glimpse into XRP’s possible future valuation.
Rector’s projections hinge on the volume of inflows into XRP ETFs, estimating initial inflows between $5–10 billion. Applying a 100x inflow-to-market-cap multiplier, he envisions a scenario where XRP could reach a $1 trillion valuation, translating to a price between $19 and $20 per XRP. This bullish outlook is contingent on the speed and scale of institutional investment.
Market Cap Multiplier 👇
Depending on how fast these inflows into the XRP ETFs come will determine how quickly we reach these targets. I am using conservative assumptions of $5-10 Billion Inflows & 100x Multiplier. Simple math. (4/4) 🎯
— Zach Rector (@ZachRector7) November 12, 2025
Notably, Rector’s forecasts align with previous analyses, reinforcing the consensus that XRP ETFs could drive a significant revaluation of the asset. Earlier projections from Canary Capital and crypto analyst Kenny Nguyen also suggest that XRP could trade between $22 and $50 once the first ETFs go live. These independent models collectively point to a potential multi-hundred-billion-dollar increase in XRP’s market cap with even modest institutional participation.
However, it’s important to consider Ethereum’s experience, where substantial ETF inflows have not resulted in significant price appreciation. This cautionary tale highlights that strong institutional inflows do not automatically translate to rapid price gains. Market conditions and investor sentiment will play a crucial role in determining XRP’s trajectory.
With the first U.S. spot XRP ETF now available and additional ETF products awaiting approval, the market is poised for a potentially transformative period. While projections offer valuable insights, the actual impact on XRP’s price remains to be seen, contingent on a variety of factors including regulatory developments.
Source: Original article
