XRP Set for Breakout as Analysts Eye $3.80 Target

XRP is gaining momentum as investors and analysts closely monitor its bullish signals, suggesting a potential breakout is imminent. Positioned just above the $3.10 support zone, this surge in XRP brings renewed optimism within the crypto community.

On August 15, XRP was trading near $3.11, a level that has become a focal point for market watchers. The current technical setup points toward a possible upward push, with projections identifying $3.80 as the next major resistance. This upward trend comes amid general market volatility, which has notably impacted Bitcoin but left XRP to strengthen independently.

Recent trading patterns are encouraging. Analysts have detected a bullish pennant formation, a technical pattern backed by a moving average convergence divergence (MACD) crossover—both classic signs of growing upward momentum. Historical behavior suggests similar setups in XRP’s chart precede rapid price increases, ranging from 25% to 40% over a short span.

Increased trading volume supports this view. On August 12 alone, trading activity for XRP spiked to roughly 387,000 tokens across key exchanges. This was the most active trading session since July 24. Surging volumes during technical breakouts often verify strength behind the move, distinguishing real price rallies from fleeting spikes.

A check on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reveals a neutral reading of around 54, further signaling that XRP is not currently overbought. To put that in context, in early July the RSI rose above 70, triggering a 9% retracement following a brief high at $3.26. Keeping RSI below overheating levels offers room for further growth without immediate downside pressure.

Short-term support levels also lend confidence. The EMA-20 has held firm near $3.14 since August 8, while the EMA-50 offers backup at $2.93. These averages suggest a solid base that could sustain a run towards $3.80—provided sentiment remains strong and macroeconomic headwinds are kept at bay.

A critical evolution in XRP’s behavior is its decoupling from Bitcoin’s influence. Data from Kaiko Analytics shows that XRP’s 30-day correlation with BTC dropped from 0.81 in July 2024 to 0.58 by August 2025. This decline marks a structural shift, where XRP is increasingly driven by its own fundamentals rather than tracking broader crypto moves.

One major catalyst is growing institutional participation. According to CoinShares, XRP-centric products attracted $9.1 million in inflows during the last week—a notable uptick and the strongest showing since March. Meanwhile, Bitcoin-focused investment products saw mild outflows during the same period.

XRP’s outlook has also been improved by legal clarity. Following Ripple’s partial court victory in July 2023, XRP’s regulatory uncertainty has eased. This has paved the way for institutional users to begin experimenting with XRP in real-world payments. In Q2 2025, Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) platform expanded to 27 new banking partnerships, with notable adoption in Southeast Asia and the Middle East.

Short-term volatility remains, however. XRP has recently oscillated between $3.20 and $3.34, forming a symmetrical triangle on the charts. Should XRP push past $3.34, analysts believe it could then re-test the $3.50 level before a likely move towards $3.80.

Several key data points demonstrate the token’s trajectory:

• Recent low: ~$3.08–$3.10 support zone
• Immediate resistance: ~$3.33–$3.50
• 52-week range: $1.64 to $3.66
• Year-to-date gains: over 450%

Risks do remain. A change in monetary policy direction by the Federal Reserve, notably a hawkish pivot in September, could lead to broader risk-off sentiment. Additionally, on-chain data highlights large-volume selling by whales hovering around $3.30, potentially acting as resistance. And though unlikely at this stage, any unexpected regulatory decisions could alter the landscape yet again.

Looking ahead, some market watchers estimate XRP could even reach $5 by year’s end. However, such a move hinges on several aligned factors—most importantly, a strong and sustained breakout above $3.80, consistent trading volumes surpassing 500,000 XRP per day, ongoing institutional investments, and a stable regulatory climate.

Related: XRP Price: $12M Max Pain for Bears

Even if XRP falls short of the $5 mark in the short term, current developments underscore its growing independence, renewed investor confidence, and its expanding role in global payments infrastructure. Whether it climbs to new highs or retraces, XRP is increasingly a story of real-world adoption—not just speculative movement.