The focus keyword XRP takes center stage as a crypto analyst has identified a critical price level that could ignite a surge towards double-digit territory.
The focus keyword XRP takes center stage as a crypto analyst has identified a critical price level that could ignite a surge towards double-digit territory. According to EGRAG Crypto, a widely-followed market commentator, the $3.65 mark serves as a pivotal breakout point he refers to as the “Valhalla gate key.” This threshold, once cleared, may propel XRP into a powerful bull run, targeting as high as $23.
In his in-depth analysis, EGRAG Crypto shared a monthly XRP chart highlighting price movements across different market cycles. He places particular emphasis on the 9-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), a key technical indicator used to track XRP’s performance during previous bull markets. His chart references two complete cycles and three mid-cycle tops, establishing a pattern of substantial gains followed by corrections and recoveries.
XRP’s Historical Market Cycles
EGRAG’s evaluation begins with what he labels Cycle 1. Back in December 2013, XRP reached a cycle high of $0.0614, only to decline before achieving a mid-cycle top of $0.0280 in December 2014, rebounding off the 9 SMA. This pattern of bouncing off the SMA and resuming upward momentum is a recurring theme in his framework.
Cycle 2 unfolded similarly. XRP touched a mid-cycle high of $0.3988 in May 2017. After a six-month consolidation, it formed a bullish pennant—a technical indicator signaling potential growth. Once again, XRP found support at the 9 SMA. It eventually rallied to $3.80 in January 2018, marking the cycle top.
Fast forward to April 2021, XRP climbed to $1.96 during the bull run. Still, EGRAG does not classify this event as a separate cycle, attributing the stagnation to the SEC lawsuit, which he believes hindered XRP from reaching its full market potential.
Entering Cycle 3: Recent Performance
EGRAG marks November 2024 through January 2025 as the onset of Cycle 3. During this period, XRP reached a mid-cycle top of $3.40 in January 2025 before undergoing another classic retracement. As in previous cycles, the correction formed a bullish pennant over a seven-month span. True to historical patterns, XRP once again rebounded off the 9 SMA and recently moved past the pennant resistance, climbing towards $3.00 during a recent surge.
According to the analyst, this breakout signals a renewed upward move. Yet, he emphasizes that true momentum can only be achieved once XRP firmly breaks above the $3.65 threshold—the so-called Valhalla gate key. This price level also aligns with the upper boundary of EGRAG’s green ribbon indicator, making it a vital point for traders and long-term investors alike.
Projected XRP Price Targets Beyond the Gate
Upon a decisive close above $3.65, EGRAG outlines two primary bullish scenarios anchored on different pole breakout measurements. In the optimistic full pole breakout scenario, the normal measurement indicates a potential rise to $23, while a conservative version pegs the target at $15.
In the more cautious conservative pole breakout model, the upside targets range from $12 to $16. Taken collectively, EGRAG’s projections set the next critical XRP price range between $12 and $23. Realizing these targets would require XRP to rally approximately 313% to 693% from its current level of $2.90, highlighting the magnitude of potential gains should the asset surpass the $3.65 resistance.
Related: XRP Price: $12M Max Pain for Bears
For investors tracking Ripple’s token, this analysis offers a structured roadmap grounded in historical performance metrics. The reliance on established technical indicators like the 9 SMA and recurring cycle behavior provides context for XRP’s next potential moves. As always, while no projection comes with certainty, the premise offers a compelling case for bullish momentum if the $3.65 level is breached and sustained.
Quick Summary
The focus keyword XRP takes center stage as a crypto analyst has identified a critical price level that could ignite a surge towards double-digit territory.
Source
Information sourced from official Ripple publications, institutional research, regulatory documentation and reputable crypto news outlets.
Author
Ripple Van Winkle is a cryptocurrency analyst and founder of XRP Right Now. He has been active in the crypto space for over 8 years and has generated more than 25 million views across YouTube covering XRP daily.
Editorial Note
Opinions are the author's alone and for informational purposes only. This publication does not provide investment advice.

