XRP futures have seen a significant uptick, with open interest jumping by 32% — a development that underscores a tug-of-war developing in the crypto community between bullish momentum and lingering bearish hesitation. This unexpected rise in XRP futures reflects shifting sentiment in the market as the token shows signs of life once again.
On April 7, XRP hit a year-to-date low at $1.61. Since then, the altcoin has rebounded strongly, posting a 25% gain over a two-week span. This rally coincided with a rise in XRP futures open interest — from $3.14 billion to $4.13 billion between April 21 and 23 — indicating renewed activity among derivatives traders.
While rising open interest in tandem with price usually hints at bullish sentiment, this time, the data tells a more nuanced story. According to Velo, the aggregated premiums on these futures were negative, suggesting that professional traders may actually be betting against upward price movement.
The concept of open interest refers to the total number of outstanding futures contracts that have not been settled, reflecting broader market participation. However, the funding rate — another key metric — hovered around zero during this period. This neutral funding rate points to a market that’s undecided, with neither bulls nor bears significantly influencing rates.
Interestingly, spot market activity paints a different picture. The cumulative volume delta — which captures the net buying versus selling pressure — turned positive in April. This indicates that buyers in the spot market are emerging in force, even as futures traders appear more skeptical.
This dichotomy illustrates a larger market conflict: on one hand, there’s a build-up of bullish momentum in the spot market; on the other hand, futures data reflects restrained optimism at best. As a result, XRP’s price action remains at the mercy of this ongoing power struggle.
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Can XRP Reach Double-Digit Prices?
The recent rally has sparked new waves of speculation among crypto analysts and communities. Leading the charge is Sistine Research, which has charted a highly optimistic long-term price range for XRP — predicting potential highs between $33 and $50. This bold projection is modeled on historical data drawn from XRP’s explosive 2017 surge of 2,600%, formed around a higher time frame (HTF) symmetrical triangle pattern.
In a tweet on X, Sistine Research forecasted that a more aggressive upside scenario could place XRP’s price as high as $77 to $100.
Currently priced at $2.23 with a market capitalization of approximately $131 billion, XRP would need to exceed a $2 trillion valuation to fulfill this forecast. That figure is more than Bitcoin’s entire valuation as of now, making this an exceedingly ambitious target for the near future.
On shorter timeframes, XRP’s price action reveals a potentially bullish formation — the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. If confirmed, this setup could propel XRP toward resistance levels in the $2.50 to $2.67 range, which also aligns with key Fibonacci extension zones.
However, caution remains as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that the market might be venturing into overbought territory. This suggests a possible cooldown or consolidation phase in the short term.
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As XRP strives to sustain its recovery, traders are watching closely to determine whether fundamentals, technicals, and sentiment will align to support a breakout — or whether current resistance levels will suppress further gains in the short term.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
